Companies107 Funding$41.6B Rounds77 ▼1 mo Investors75 Eng roles4352 ● data fresh
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ARM

fresh

ARM

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ARM gained share when cell phone compute emerged, while Intel and AMD lost it. observed

fresh · evidence 14d ago 20 sources no confidence data
79/100
Venture signal
scored above 88% of late peers
Outlook Stable
Why this score? ↓

What we have established three decisions, kept apart

  1. 1 Identity verified Not recorded

    No person- or entity-level identity check is on record for this company. A name match is not one.

  2. 2 Evidence sufficient to publish Not yet

    The inclusion bar: two or more independent sourced evidence families. This profile is reachable but not in the ranked index. It is a statement about how much evidence we hold, and about nothing else.

  3. 3 Fit for a seed/Series-A sourcing buyer Not established

    We have not established fit. That is not a soft no and not a soft yes — it is unknown, and it is never counted as a qualified prospect.

Funding
$5B
Adoption
no signal
downloads / week
Developer
not scored
momentum / 100
Hiring
no board
eng openings
Commercial
not checked
homepage

Traction

Current round

Opportunity & risk

↗ Strongest signal: funding_magnitude (30% of the score).

↓ Scored on 1 of 4 components — funding_recency, adoption, developer had no computable metric.

14 independent sources 0 promoted signals inspect the evidence →

The skeptic's read what this company has said, judged against what happened

4 claims on record 0 verified 0 contradicted 4 still unproven

Unproven ≠ false — it means the deadline or the evidence hasn't arrived. Nothing here is editorial: every count is a ledger row you can open on the Proof page.

Evaluation

How it's evaluated Four independent layers ▾

No single number decides. Layers can disagree — that's the point. New to this? →

Platform score derived
79/100
Founder self-assessment claimed
8/100
Investor ratings opinion
—
Expert ratings opinion
—
Rate this company Investor or expert role required ▾
—/5 · 0 investors

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What people are saying 29 signals from 4 voices ▾
Technology No signals collected yet ▾
No technology data yet. This category is part of the record and will populate as evidence is collected or the founder provides it.
Team & hiring No signals collected yet ▾
No team & hiring data yet. This category is part of the record and will populate as evidence is collected or the founder provides it.
Market & funding stage 1 of 3 signals present ▾
Funding stage
not provided
Lifecycle stage
not provided
Latest round stage
growth observed stale
Timeline 2 events ▾
  1. 2028-04-09 And every data center, whether it's running general purpose compute, whether it's running inference or running training, needs a base CPU to run everything, end quote. And that's our role. And whether that is going to be what we are part of today, which is GB200, and we're super happy to be partnering with NVIDIA on that product, or other areas that we haven't talked about yet in terms of productization, there's lots of opportunity for ARM because the base CPU will be ARM. And I think therein li · Prediction · pending
  2. 2028-04-09 the opportunity going forward in terms of these large data centers doing some level of mixed inference and training, reasoning, reinforcement training, there's a lot of opportunities for ARM to do even more than what we're talking about today. So it's super exciting. · Prediction · pending

Evidence & scoring

Why this score? none_required ▾

VentureSignalScore 79/100 for arm, composed from 1 of 4 components (index v0 cross-signal), discounted ×0.79 for 30% signal coverage

ComponentWeightNormalizedContribution
funding_magnitude 0.3 1 0.3

Evidence this score rests on

Narrative vs. reality No SEC filing found for this round

Reported narrative · Tier 2
$5B growth
announced —
Filed reality · Tier 0 · SEC
No SEC Form D on record.

An evidence gap, not proof of falsity: Form D is not always required (foreign offerings, certain exemptions) or may not be filed yet.

Financing events four different events, four different dates

A first sale, a filing, an amendment and a public announcement are not the same event, and one date may not stand in for another. Where the latest financing date cannot be established from what we hold, this says unknown rather than substituting a date we do have.

Latest established financing date
unknown
Money moved on or after
not established
Total reported by
not established
Basis
unknown

No reported round and no SEC filing on record — no financing date is established.

Raw observations 75 records ▾
AttributeValueKindSourceObservedStateConf.
ai.technical.assessment {"council": {"dissent": false, "members": [{"agent": "technical_specialist", "domain": "technical", "signal": 0.1, "signal_source": "model"}, {"agent": "product_docs_specialist", "domain": "product_do derived council 2026-07-25 promoted 0.10
common_name ARM observed artifact ↗ 2026-07-18 normalized 0.60
community.hn.max_points 2122 observed artifact ↗ 2026-07-18 superseded 0.20
community.hn.max_points 0 observed artifact ↗ 2026-10-08 normalized 0.20
community.hn.mentions 50 observed artifact ↗ 2026-07-18 superseded 0.20
community.hn.mentions 0 observed artifact ↗ 2026-10-08 normalized 0.20
community.hn.rumors [{"url": "https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=24464807", "title": "Nvidia to Acquire Arm for $40B", "points": 2122, "created_at": "2020-09-13", "evidence_type": "rumor", "verification_status": "unver observed artifact ↗ 2026-07-18 superseded 0.20
community.hn.rumors [{"url": "https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=24464807", "title": "Nvidia to Acquire Arm for $40B", "points": 2122, "created_at": "2020-09-13", "evidence_type": "rumor", "verification_status": "unver observed artifact ↗ 2026-08-16 superseded 0.20
community.hn.rumors [{"url": "https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=24464807", "title": "Nvidia to Acquire Arm for $40B", "points": 2122, "created_at": "2020-09-13", "evidence_type": "rumor", "verification_status": "unver observed artifact ↗ 2022-02-08 superseded 0.20
community.hn.rumors [{"url": "https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=24464807", "title": "Nvidia to Acquire Arm for $40B", "points": 2122, "created_at": "2020-09-13", "evidence_type": "rumor", "verification_status": "unver observed artifact ↗ 2022-02-08 superseded 0.20
community.hn.rumors [{"url": "https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=24464807", "title": "Nvidia to Acquire Arm for $40B", "points": 2122, "created_at": "2020-09-13", "evidence_type": "rumor", "verification_status": "unver observed artifact ↗ 2022-02-08 superseded 0.20
community.hn.rumors [{"url": "https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=24464807", "title": "Nvidia to Acquire Arm for $40B", "points": 2122, "created_at": "2020-09-13", "evidence_type": "rumor", "verification_status": "unver observed artifact ↗ 2022-02-08 superseded 0.20
community.hn.rumors [{"url": "https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=24464807", "title": "Nvidia to Acquire Arm for $40B", "points": 2122, "created_at": "2020-09-13", "evidence_type": "rumor", "verification_status": "unver observed artifact ↗ 2022-02-08 superseded 0.20
community.hn.rumors [{"url": "https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=24464807", "title": "Nvidia to Acquire Arm for $40B", "points": 2122, "created_at": "2020-09-13", "evidence_type": "rumor", "verification_status": "unver observed artifact ↗ 2022-02-08 superseded 0.20
community.hn.rumors [] observed artifact ↗ 2026-10-08 normalized 0.20
community.hn.top_story {"url": "https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=24464807", "title": "Nvidia to Acquire Arm for $40B", "points": 2122, "created_at": "2020-09-13"} observed artifact ↗ 2026-07-18 superseded 0.20
community.hn.top_story {"url": "https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=24464807", "title": "Nvidia to Acquire Arm for $40B", "points": 2122, "created_at": "2020-09-13"} observed artifact ↗ 2026-08-16 superseded 0.20
community.hn.top_story {"url": "https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=24464807", "title": "Nvidia to Acquire Arm for $40B", "points": 2122, "created_at": "2020-09-13"} observed artifact ↗ 2020-09-13 superseded 0.20
community.hn.top_story {"url": "https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=24464807", "title": "Nvidia to Acquire Arm for $40B", "points": 2122, "created_at": "2020-09-13"} observed artifact ↗ 2020-09-13 superseded 0.20
community.hn.top_story {"url": "https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=24464807", "title": "Nvidia to Acquire Arm for $40B", "points": 2122, "created_at": "2020-09-13"} observed artifact ↗ 2020-09-13 superseded 0.20
community.hn.top_story {"url": "https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=24464807", "title": "Nvidia to Acquire Arm for $40B", "points": 2122, "created_at": "2020-09-13"} observed artifact ↗ 2020-09-13 superseded 0.20
community.hn.top_story {"url": "https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=24464807", "title": "Nvidia to Acquire Arm for $40B", "points": 2122, "created_at": "2020-09-13"} observed artifact ↗ 2020-09-13 superseded 0.20
community.hn.top_story {"url": "https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=24464807", "title": "Nvidia to Acquire Arm for $40B", "points": 2122, "created_at": "2020-09-13"} observed artifact ↗ 2020-09-13 superseded 0.20
community.hn.top_story {} observed artifact ↗ 2026-10-08 normalized 0.20
description ARM gained share when cell phone compute emerged, while Intel and AMD lost it. observed artifact ↗ 2026-07-18 normalized 0.60
funding.round.amount_usd 5000000000 observed artifact ↗ 2023-09-23 normalized 0.50
funding.round.stage growth observed artifact ↗ 2023-09-23 normalized 0.50
hypothesis {"criterion": {"attribute": "score.venture_signal", "threshold": 3, "comparator": "gte"}, "prediction": "And every data center, whether it's running general purpose compute, whether it's running infer derived calc 2026-10-09 derived 0.70
hypothesis {"criterion": {"attribute": "score.venture_signal", "threshold": 3, "comparator": "gte"}, "prediction": "the opportunity going forward in terms of these large data centers doing some level of mixed in derived calc 2026-10-09 derived 0.70
index.ai_tie AI_ADJACENT observed classify 2026-07-25 derived 0.60
metric.venture.funding_amount_usd 5000000000 derived calc 2026-07-25 derived 0.50
platform.index_excluded true derived calc 2026-09-28 normalized 0.99
score.venture_signal 79 derived calc 2026-07-25 derived 0.26
sector emerging derived calc 2026-08-08 normalized 0.50
signal.commentary {"context": null, "run_ref": "01KY954Q8DP8GHK7BNRF6D71RX", "signals": [{"quote": "you have something called risky, which is an open architecture spec to essentially compete and create different versio observed artifact ↗ 2023-08-26 promoted 0.50
signal.commentary {"context": null, "run_ref": "01KY954Q8DP8GHK7BNRF6D71RX", "signals": [{"quote": "Arm officially filed. It's F one. It's kind of like an S one for a foreign company. And they plan to go public next mo observed artifact ↗ 2023-08-26 promoted 0.50
signal.commentary {"context": null, "run_ref": "01KY954Q8DP8GHK7BNRF6D71RX", "signals": [{"quote": "Well, SoftBank has the D lever, right? They have a they have a very big problem, which is that they have this forget S observed artifact ↗ 2023-08-26 promoted 0.50
signal.commentary {"context": null, "run_ref": "01KY9V4C73E17V6QFN3K7JS3F4", "signals": [{"quote": "arm confidentially filed for an ipo back in april and they're seeking to raise between 8 and 10 billion later this yea observed artifact ↗ 2023-06-16 promoted 0.50
signal.commentary {"context": null, "run_ref": "01KYD0Q4ZY0KVZBJSBCBCP2VMX", "signals": [{"quote": "arm went public today i think they priced their shares at 51 they raised close to 5 billion 50 plus billion dollar val observed artifact ↗ 2023-09-23 promoted 0.50
signal.commentary {"context": null, "run_ref": "01KYD0Q4ZY0KVZBJSBCBCP2VMX", "signals": [{"quote": "masayoshi-san had no choice but to get that company public because he needed to get distributions to people like um yo observed artifact ↗ 2023-09-23 promoted 0.50
signal.commentary {"context": null, "run_ref": "01KZA3S2ZTE2S355FR90AHKE41", "signals": [{"quote": "we brought an investment from um nvidia qualcomm arm amd all the big chip companies", "stance": "neutral", "signal_cla observed artifact ↗ 2026-05-15 promoted 0.50
signal.commentary {"context": null, "run_ref": "01KZMWX0M0NMSMA9MNBHZ0FXNA", "signals": [{"quote": "so companies are going to get pushed out public because they have no choice and that's what's happening here you would observed artifact ↗ 2023-08-24 promoted 0.50
signal.commentary {"context": null, "run_ref": "01KZMWX0M0NMSMA9MNBHZ0FXNA", "signals": [{"quote": "private for a couple years and make it grow 10 year over year clean it up have an ai strategy it would be better timin observed artifact ↗ 2023-08-24 promoted 0.50
signal.commentary {"context": null, "run_ref": "01KZMWX0M0NMSMA9MNBHZ0FXNA", "signals": [{"quote": "arm basically said they're pivoting into building chip architecture for cpus that can be used for ai and for cloud com observed artifact ↗ 2023-08-24 promoted 0.50
signal.commentary {"context": null, "run_ref": "01KZMWX0M0NMSMA9MNBHZ0FXNA", "signals": [{"quote": "the reason that the revenue was down slightly is because they are so concentrated in the smartphone market that when s observed artifact ↗ 2023-08-24 promoted 0.50
signal.commentary {"context": null, "run_ref": "01KZMWX0M0NMSMA9MNBHZ0FXNA", "signals": [{"quote": "arms single largest customer is an entity called arm china this is an independent entity that has exclusive rights to observed artifact ↗ 2023-08-24 promoted 0.50
signal.commentary {"context": null, "run_ref": "01KZMWX0M0NMSMA9MNBHZ0FXNA", "signals": [{"quote": "it's a huge risk um when you have that what you have to do is quickly try to increase your customer base so that the p observed artifact ↗ 2023-08-24 promoted 0.50
signal.commentary {"context": null, "run_ref": "01KZMWX0M0NMSMA9MNBHZ0FXNA", "signals": [{"quote": "using risk and they say you know what we're going to make 10 of our chips with this risk architecture that's open sour observed artifact ↗ 2023-08-24 promoted 0.50
signal.commentary {"context": null, "run_ref": "01KZMWX0M0NMSMA9MNBHZ0FXNA", "signals": [{"quote": "arm china is owned by a couple of different entities acetone limited is one of them that is an entity that's controlle observed artifact ↗ 2023-08-24 promoted 0.50
signal.commentary {"context": null, "run_ref": "01KZMWX0M0NMSMA9MNBHZ0FXNA", "signals": [{"quote": "arm china has possession of or access to certain material ip and customer data pursuant to the ipla ipla stands for in observed artifact ↗ 2023-08-24 promoted 0.50
signal.commentary {"context": null, "run_ref": "01KZMWX0M0NMSMA9MNBHZ0FXNA", "signals": [{"quote": "does this sound like a a safe relationship with a company that makes up 25 of your revenue", "stance": "bearish", "sig observed artifact ↗ 2023-08-24 promoted 0.50
signal.commentary {"context": null, "run_ref": "01KZMWX0M0NMSMA9MNBHZ0FXNA", "signals": [{"quote": "it's owned by the state everything's owned by the state and the state can at any point in time tell you you no longer observed artifact ↗ 2023-08-24 promoted 0.50
signal.commentary {"context": null, "run_ref": "01KZW9XXKQ721TGA9R31TQQ6NW", "signals": [{"quote": "architecture for chips and processors and semiconductors. They don't manufacture chips themselves. They just designed observed artifact ↗ 2022-02-16 promoted 0.50
signal.commentary {"context": null, "run_ref": "01KZW9XXKQ721TGA9R31TQQ6NW", "signals": [{"quote": "arm is sort of out in the cold and soft bank is trying to figure out what to do with them.", "stance": "bearish", "sig observed artifact ↗ 2022-02-16 promoted 0.50
signal.commentary {"context": null, "run_ref": "01KZW9XXKQ721TGA9R31TQQ6NW", "signals": [{"quote": "them for $40 billion in cash and stock, meaning by the way, that arms valuation would have gone up only $8 billion sin observed artifact ↗ 2022-02-16 promoted 0.50
signal.commentary {"context": null, "run_ref": "01KZW9XXKQ721TGA9R31TQQ6NW", "signals": [{"quote": "So now they have to go public, but who's going to want to buy the stock in a company that's in decline or sideways. So observed artifact ↗ 2022-02-16 promoted 0.50
signal.commentary {"context": null, "run_ref": "01KZW9XXKQ721TGA9R31TQQ6NW", "signals": [{"quote": "SoftBank can afford a couple of flops and these things are always a matter of price. So if the price gets low enough, observed artifact ↗ 2022-02-16 promoted 0.50
signal.commentary {"context": null, "run_ref": "01KZW9XXKQ721TGA9R31TQQ6NW", "signals": [{"quote": "if we're going to block mergers and acquisitions, if the company is in decline, then you have to start thinking about observed artifact ↗ 2022-02-16 promoted 0.50
signal.commentary {"context": null, "run_ref": "01KZW9XXKQ721TGA9R31TQQ6NW", "signals": [{"quote": "this is going to be a challenging one and it could be painful for the company if they can't find a suitor.", "stance": observed artifact ↗ 2022-02-16 promoted 0.50
signal.commentary {"context": null, "run_ref": "01M4GFS69CVPDV613A0CMFKPTC", "signals": [{"quote": "And we did that with ARM. Right? And there are several others we're going to be doing it with. And that opens up oppor observed artifact ↗ 2025-09-26 promoted 0.50
signal.commentary {"context": null, "run_ref": "01M4H7EWYPFZBRRARY96CFARF4", "signals": [{"quote": "Part of it is, you know, he owns 90% of Arm, so I have a lot of investor meetings with him as my chief investor and ta observed artifact ↗ 2025-01-23 promoted 0.50
signal.commentary {"context": null, "run_ref": "01M4H7EWYPFZBRRARY96CFARF4", "signals": [{"quote": "And every data center, whether it's running general purpose compute, whether it's running inference or running trainin observed artifact ↗ 2025-01-23 promoted 0.50
signal.commentary {"context": null, "run_ref": "01M4H7EWYPFZBRRARY96CFARF4", "signals": [{"quote": "the opportunity going forward in terms of these large data centers doing some level of mixed inference and training, r observed artifact ↗ 2025-01-23 promoted 0.50
source.document.reference {"kind": "video", "title": "E166: Mind-blowing AI Video: OpenAI launches Sora + Is Biden too old? Tucker/Putin interview & more — arm", "source_id": "01KXRSFZKN20X09KVP44F46EV2-m-ddf7ff5ebd9d66ce", "e observed artifact ↗ 2026-07-23 normalized 0.95
source.document.reference {"kind": "video", "title": "E143: Nvidia smashes earnings, Arm walks the plank, M&A market, Vivek dominates GOP debate & more — arm", "source_id": "01KXRSFZYDVFKQMBJVJF7FSVWP-m-ddf7ff5ebd9d66ce", "ext observed artifact ↗ 2026-07-24 normalized 0.95
source.document.reference {"kind": "video", "title": "E133: Market melt-up, IPO update, AI startups overheat, Reddit revolts & more with Brad Gerstner — arm", "source_id": "01KXRSG01BDBNWHVR4B80EK6BN-m-ddf7ff5ebd9d66ce", "extr observed artifact ↗ 2026-07-24 normalized 0.95
source.document.reference {"kind": "video", "title": "Jason Unplugged: IPO market, WaPo tactics against Dave Portnoy + Live Q&A | E1815 — arm", "source_id": "01KXRSPCJK902363TX5BA77FPV-m-ddf7ff5ebd9d66ce", "extract_ref": "arti observed artifact ↗ 2026-07-25 normalized 0.95
source.document.reference {"kind": "video", "title": "The Self-Driving Startup Nobody Saw Coming | E2289 — arm", "source_id": "01KXRSP6ASJPT1JAKZY2FM6YDF-m-ddf7ff5ebd9d66ce", "extract_ref": "artifact:sha256:d54076dd1f31a282146 observed artifact ↗ 2026-08-05 normalized 0.95
source.document.reference {"kind": "video", "title": "NEWS: Nvidia’s insane earnings beat, Arm’s IPO filing, and more! | E1797 — arm", "source_id": "01KXRSPCTCHPZ69QCSQT31G23H-m-ddf7ff5ebd9d66ce", "extract_ref": "artifact:sha2 observed artifact ↗ 2026-08-10 normalized 0.95
source.document.reference {"kind": "video", "title": "Sequoia resigns from Citizen's board, IPO window opens, chaos at Dapper Labs | E1691 — arm", "source_id": "01KXRSPE7ZSPMMZPA313Y6D2XX-m-ddf7ff5ebd9d66ce", "extract_ref": "a observed artifact ↗ 2026-08-10 normalized 0.95
source.document.reference {"kind": "video", "title": "Do startup employee stock options need an overhaul? + Growth University's Craig Zingerline | E1387 — arm", "source_id": "01KXRSPJ3682VWPXBTMEQ6MPAB-m-ddf7ff5ebd9d66ce", "e observed artifact ↗ 2026-08-13 normalized 0.95
source.document.reference {"kind": "video", "title": "E717: News Roundtable! Rolfe Winkler (WSJ), Tess Townsend (Recode): Google, voice-assistants, bots — arm", "source_id": "01KXRSPSY4D40FC8HZJ3WRB77A-m-ddf7ff5ebd9d66ce", "ex observed artifact ↗ 2026-09-19 normalized 0.95
source.document.reference {"kind": "podcast", "title": "NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner — arm", "source_id": "01M4GC8PXVG4Q8YYT3XTEVS935-m-ddf7ff5ebd9d66ce", "ex observed artifact ↗ 2026-10-09 superseded 0.95
source.document.reference {"kind": "podcast", "title": "NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner — arm", "source_id": "01M4GC8PXVG4Q8YYT3XTEVS935-m-ddf7ff5ebd9d66ce", "ex observed artifact ↗ 2025-09-26 normalized 0.95
source.document.reference {"kind": "podcast", "title": "Stargate, Executive Orders, TikTok, DOGE, Public Valuations | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner — arm", "source_id": "01M4H49RGEGB9HCC284V1YTA3X-m-ddf7ff5ebd9d66ce", "ex observed artifact ↗ 2025-01-23 normalized 0.95