fresh
Discussed in relation to moat observed
Five evidence lanes (activity, capital, infra, hiring, ecosystem) as within-cohort percentiles, combined with evidence-breadth weights over the 60-company baseline cohort. The ± band widens with missing lanes — it measures what the score stands on. Scores publish at 2+ evidence lanes; this company's tape carries 1 (20 signals/60d), so no number is claimed.
No standout signal or flag yet.
No single number decides. Layers can disagree — that's the point. New to this? →
microsoft and ibm were in fact uh disrupted by google and amazon
i think the best trade on the best trade on the internet the most obvious simple money-making trade is long microsoft google short big tech short the rest of big tech short ibm
you couldn't make an IBM, uh, compatible computer without MS DOS.
What is Facebook's issue two days ago? It was that, you know, the boogaloo movement, which is, you know, a bunch of people who believe in the militia and an impending civil war principally use Facebook and Facebook groups to organize.
I think basically that Facebook is becoming middle America and Twitter is becoming sort of the coasts. ... Facebook is basically a product of middle America, plus kind of like countries outside the United States and, you know, Twitter's about, you know, rich coastal kind of people.
One is that the Twitter product is still relatively brittle. I mean, like, Facebook has a whole suite of emoticons to say something is a crock of shit. ... And so Twitter's reactionary feedback mechanism to its algorithms is very brittle.
I don't think so. Yeah, look, I mean, it's such a slippery slope and there's too much room for interpretation. I'm just saying the obvious. But, you know, if you're a platform, you're a platform. You know, you let the things get built on top of you. Sure, you can have some rules around what can be built. But as soon as you start, you know, saying what is true and what is not true, and you become the arbiter of truth, you're no longer an agnostic platform. And I think that, you know, that that is
ibm is selling quantum computers people are selling time in the quantum computers
Gray-market attention, not quality. 50+ HN mentions (peak 2611 points). Claim-shaped headlines are rumors until corroborated — a Tier-3 factual claim carries no evidentiary weight on its own. Risk drivers: heavy gray-market attention · no primary-source corroboration. ▲ 2611 IBM acquires Red Hat 2018-10-28 ↗
| Attribute | Value | Kind | Source | Observed | State | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
common_name | IBM | observed | artifact ↗ | 2026-07-18 | normalized | 0.60 |
community.hn.max_points | 2611 | observed | artifact ↗ | 2026-07-18 | normalized | 0.20 |
community.hn.mentions | 50 | observed | artifact ↗ | 2026-07-18 | normalized | 0.20 |
community.hn.rumors | [{"url": "https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=18321884", "title": "IBM acquires Red Hat", "points": 2611, "created_at": "2018-10-28", "evidence_type": "rumor", "verification_status": "unverified"}, { | observed | artifact ↗ | 2026-07-18 | superseded | 0.20 |
community.hn.rumors | [{"url": "https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=18321884", "title": "IBM acquires Red Hat", "points": 2611, "created_at": "2018-10-28", "evidence_type": "rumor", "verification_status": "unverified"}, { | observed | artifact ↗ | 2026-08-16 | superseded | 0.20 |
community.hn.rumors | [{"url": "https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=18321884", "title": "IBM acquires Red Hat", "points": 2611, "created_at": "2018-10-28", "evidence_type": "rumor", "verification_status": "unverified"}, { | observed | artifact ↗ | 2025-12-08 | superseded | 0.20 |
community.hn.rumors | [{"url": "https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=18321884", "title": "IBM acquires Red Hat", "points": 2611, "created_at": "2018-10-28", "evidence_type": "rumor", "verification_status": "unverified"}, { | observed | artifact ↗ | 2025-12-08 | superseded | 0.20 |
community.hn.rumors | [{"url": "https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=18321884", "title": "IBM acquires Red Hat", "points": 2611, "created_at": "2018-10-28", "evidence_type": "rumor", "verification_status": "unverified"}, { | observed | artifact ↗ | 2025-12-08 | superseded | 0.20 |
community.hn.rumors | [{"url": "https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=18321884", "title": "IBM acquires Red Hat", "points": 2611, "created_at": "2018-10-28", "evidence_type": "rumor", "verification_status": "unverified"}, { | observed | artifact ↗ | 2025-12-08 | normalized | 0.20 |
community.hn.top_story | {"url": "https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=18321884", "title": "IBM acquires Red Hat", "points": 2611, "created_at": "2018-10-28"} | observed | artifact ↗ | 2026-07-18 | superseded | 0.20 |
community.hn.top_story | {"url": "https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=18321884", "title": "IBM acquires Red Hat", "points": 2611, "created_at": "2018-10-28"} | observed | artifact ↗ | 2026-08-16 | superseded | 0.20 |
community.hn.top_story | {"url": "https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=18321884", "title": "IBM acquires Red Hat", "points": 2611, "created_at": "2018-10-28"} | observed | artifact ↗ | 2018-10-28 | superseded | 0.20 |
community.hn.top_story | {"url": "https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=18321884", "title": "IBM acquires Red Hat", "points": 2611, "created_at": "2018-10-28"} | observed | artifact ↗ | 2018-10-28 | superseded | 0.20 |
community.hn.top_story | {"url": "https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=18321884", "title": "IBM acquires Red Hat", "points": 2611, "created_at": "2018-10-28"} | observed | artifact ↗ | 2018-10-28 | superseded | 0.20 |
community.hn.top_story | {"url": "https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=18321884", "title": "IBM acquires Red Hat", "points": 2611, "created_at": "2018-10-28"} | observed | artifact ↗ | 2018-10-28 | normalized | 0.20 |
description | Discussed in relation to moat | observed | artifact ↗ | 2026-07-18 | normalized | 0.60 |
index.ai_tie | BLUE_CHIP | observed | classify | 2026-07-25 | derived | 0.60 |
sector | emerging | derived | calc | 2026-08-08 | normalized | 0.50 |
signal.commentary | {"context": null, "run_ref": "01KXXTHZ8QT0NSKQHF4NAV60FW", "signals": [{"quote": "ibm is selling quantum computers people are selling time in the quantum computers", "stance": "neutral", "signal_class | observed | artifact ↗ | 2025-10-27 | promoted | 0.50 |
signal.commentary | {"context": null, "run_ref": "01KYH7V94YZWEA03A5PVS1RW39", "signals": [{"quote": "I don't think so. Yeah, look, I mean, it's such a slippery slope and there's too much room for interpretation. I'm jus | observed | artifact ↗ | 2020-06-20 | promoted | 0.50 |
signal.commentary | {"context": null, "run_ref": "01KYH7V94YZWEA03A5PVS1RW39", "signals": [{"quote": "One is that the Twitter product is still relatively brittle. I mean, like, Facebook has a whole suite of emoticons to | observed | artifact ↗ | 2020-06-20 | promoted | 0.50 |
signal.commentary | {"context": null, "run_ref": "01KYH7V94YZWEA03A5PVS1RW39", "signals": [{"quote": "I think basically that Facebook is becoming middle America and Twitter is becoming sort of the coasts. ... Facebook is | observed | artifact ↗ | 2020-06-20 | promoted | 0.50 |
signal.commentary | {"context": null, "run_ref": "01KYH7V94YZWEA03A5PVS1RW39", "signals": [{"quote": "What is Facebook's issue two days ago? It was that, you know, the boogaloo movement, which is, you know, a bunch of pe | observed | artifact ↗ | 2020-06-20 | promoted | 0.50 |
signal.commentary | {"context": null, "run_ref": "01KZXVEG6PAM5KNY25H4JNHBWZ", "signals": [{"quote": "you couldn't make an IBM, uh, compatible computer without MS DOS.", "stance": "neutral", "signal_class": "fact_claim", | observed | artifact ↗ | 2021-09-29 | promoted | 0.50 |
signal.commentary | {"context": null, "run_ref": "01M05WA3X018EBH5DFNDBT4R27", "signals": [{"quote": "i think the best trade on the best trade on the internet the most obvious simple money-making trade is long microsoft | observed | artifact ↗ | 2021-11-06 | promoted | 0.50 |
signal.commentary | {"context": null, "run_ref": "01M082ZGRMF3D38E3C08931PFQ", "signals": [{"quote": "microsoft and ibm were in fact uh disrupted by google and amazon", "stance": "bearish", "signal_class": "fact_claim", | observed | artifact ↗ | 2021-07-14 | promoted | 0.50 |
source.document.reference | {"kind": "video", "title": "Software Stocks Implode, Claude's Hit List, State of the Union Reactions, Trump's Tariff Pivot — ibm", "source_id": "01KXRSFY37T90PYCYX4NB0H4QX-m-916a98f0fa2a39af", "extrac | observed | artifact ↗ | 2026-07-18 | normalized | 0.95 |
source.document.reference | {"kind": "video", "title": "Nobel Prize in Physics Winner: The Quantum Leap That Changed Everything - John Martinis — ibm", "source_id": "01KXRSFYCBMVQKTH9NZESQAATT-m-916a98f0fa2a39af", "extract_ref": | observed | artifact ↗ | 2026-07-19 | normalized | 0.95 |
source.document.reference | {"kind": "video", "title": "E129: Sam Altman plays chess with regulators, AI's \"nuclear\" potential, big pharma bundling & more — ibm", "source_id": "01KXRSG02GSGC3Y5TJWHVTJJVY-m-916a98f0fa2a39af", " | observed | artifact ↗ | 2026-07-24 | normalized | 0.95 |
source.document.reference | {"kind": "video", "title": "E54: Spread trading big tech, capital allocation, Zillow's misfire, Progressives suffer losses — ibm", "source_id": "01KXRSG0TQZ017715GCYNKHTGH-m-916a98f0fa2a39af", "extrac | observed | artifact ↗ | 2026-07-26 | normalized | 0.95 |
source.document.reference | {"kind": "video", "title": "E4: Politicizing the pandemic, Police reform, Twitter vs Facebook with David Sacks & David Friedberg — ibm", "source_id": "01KXRSG1921HDQ5T90ZEGBJ6YV-m-916a98f0fa2a39af", " | observed | artifact ↗ | 2026-07-27 | normalized | 0.95 |
source.document.reference | {"kind": "video", "title": "The Power of WEKA with Antonio Gracias and Liran Zvibel + Jam with JCal: Uptrends AI | E1986 — ibm", "source_id": "01KXRSPAD8KFJ6WN7BRXVWWHE3-m-916a98f0fa2a39af", "extract_ | observed | artifact ↗ | 2026-08-08 | normalized | 0.95 |
source.document.reference | {"kind": "video", "title": "Magic.dev CEO Eric Steinberger on making developers bionic | E1744 — ibm", "source_id": "01KXRSPDHGYNDC6MBRCA8E6AQN-m-916a98f0fa2a39af", "extract_ref": "artifact:sha256:52d | observed | artifact ↗ | 2026-08-10 | normalized | 0.95 |
source.document.reference | {"kind": "video", "title": "All-In’s hijacked feed, Google’s earnings breakdown, Jason’s legendary iPad troll | E1376 — ibm", "source_id": "01KXRSPJ8EXSKGXKCGM8XSR19S-m-916a98f0fa2a39af", "extract_ref | observed | artifact ↗ | 2026-08-13 | normalized | 0.95 |
source.document.reference | {"kind": "video", "title": "Google's game-changing ad policy + Michael Dell on \"Play Nice But Win\" | E1293 — ibm", "source_id": "01KXRSPK9GA31J7YKBFZ3NAAEA-m-916a98f0fa2a39af", "extract_ref": "arti | observed | artifact ↗ | 2026-08-13 | normalized | 0.95 |
source.document.reference | {"kind": "video", "title": "Education’s war on excellence, AWS atrophy, France fines Google + AppHarvest’s Josh Lessing | E1245 — ibm", "source_id": "01KXRSPKZB7RW0HANFBPKXR2FA-m-916a98f0fa2a39af", "e | observed | artifact ↗ | 2026-08-16 | normalized | 0.95 |
source.document.reference | {"kind": "video", "title": "Employment Agreement deep dive with Becki DeGraw | Wilson Sonsini Startup Legal Basics — ibm", "source_id": "01KXRSPNCV84AJR57PC6K3ME8Y-m-916a98f0fa2a39af", "extract_ref": | observed | artifact ↗ | 2026-08-17 | normalized | 0.95 |
source.document.reference | {"kind": "video", "title": "- Careers - Nice Girls Don't Get The Corner Office — ibm", "source_id": "01KXRSQ19PSEBSD58Q3BWF29QQ-m-916a98f0fa2a39af", "extract_ref": "artifact:sha256:b759d2ac686b754ac18 | observed | artifact ↗ | 2026-08-18 | normalized | 0.95 |