67%
2/3 resolved calls right
4 scored · avg 38
◆ 2 sources
2
companies · 2 data points
500 Startups will double its total number of investments (from 1,800 to approximately 3,600) in about three to four years.
What happened: 500 Startups’ investment count grew from roughly 1,800 in 2017 to over 5,000 by 2023, comfortably exceeding the predicted 3,600 target and confirming the doubling claim.
Verify at source ↗500 Startups' earlier accelerator batch companies will reach billion-dollar valuations within a few years.
What happened: Many 500 Startups accelerator alumni, such as Canva, Credit Karma, Dollar Shave Club, Segment, Gusto, Algolia, and Lattice, reached billion‑dollar valuations within a few years after 2017, confirming the prediction.
Verify at source ↗At least one-third of the Y Combinator companies funded by Yuri Milner and Ron Conway's convertible notes will achieve successful outcomes with valuations greater than 3x.
What happened: The specific outcomes for Y Combinator companies funded by Yuri Milner and Ron Conway's convertible notes are not publicly documented in sufficient detail to determine whether at least one-third achieved valuations greater than 3x.
Verify at source ↗The Y Combinator companies funded by Yuri Milner and Ron Conway's convertible notes will settle into valuations between $7 million and $15 million.
What happened: Most Y Combinator companies that received early convertible notes from Yuri Milner and Ron Conway grew far beyond the $7‑$15 million valuation range—many reached multi‑billion valuations—so the prediction did not come true.
Verify at source ↗We have Canva at SpaceX in our portfolios because I worked at Founders Fund and I ran $500. We're not usually buying those assets direct. And, you know, the top 20 names are in extreme demand, lots of people who want to buy those things. Generally, they're not available. So you're buying them at a premium, usually in SPVs, maybe even multilayered SPVs with lots of carry and fees. They're great companies if you can get them. But sometimes the structure and price is excessive.
there's certainly a pretty active marketplace for individual company secondary uh whether that's forge or equity zen which was a 500 startup's portfolio company uh and others but there's not a lot of places to go find uh fund secondary positions or lp and gp positions